It appears that Barack Obama’s self-inflicted negative publicity is having an effect on his chances at the Presidency. He may be doing strong in the Democrat Party, but the following survey shows he is not doing so well with the electorate at large.
From May 1, 2008 through May 5, 2008, ccAdvertising completed a survey to a combined total of 90,000 homes in California, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Missouri, New Hampshire, New York, Ohio and Pennsylvania (10,000 homes from each state) extracted from the ccAdvertising database.
This survey compared John McCain, the presumptive Republican Nominee for President against Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama, the final contestants in the race for the Democrat nomination for President. Combined results from respondents to this survey show:
John McCain Versus Hillary Clinton:
John McCain = 40.98%
Hillary Clinton = 42.04%
No Preference = 16.98%
John McCain Versus Barack Obama:
John McCain = 45.90%
Barack Obama = 40.42%
No Preference = 13.68%
In Summary:
John McCain is winning the popular vote against Barack Obama in the states targeted in this survey by 5.48%. Hillary Clinton is winning the popular vote against John McCain in the states targeted in this survey by 1.06%.
When it is John McCain versus Hillary Clinton, John McCain wins 4 states (CO, FL, IL, and NH), with Hillary Clinton winning 5 states (CA, MO, NY, OH and PA). When it is John McCain versus Barack Obama, John McCain wins 6 states (CO, FL, MO, NH, OH and PA) with Barack Obama winning 3 states (CA, IL, and NY).
If Barack Obama is the Democrat Nominee the following changes occur in the State by State results:
California changes from a Hillary Clinton victory over John McCain by 15.82% to a Barack Obama victory over McCain by 12.88%. This is a 2.94% move to McCain.
Colorado changes from a John McCain victory over Hillary Clinton by 5.44% to a John McCain victory by 1.98%. This is a 3.46% move to Obama.
Florida changes from an 11.46% margin of victory for John McCain to a 25.52% margin for John McCain. This is a 14.06% move to McCain.
Illinois changes from a John McCain victory over Hillary Clinton by 2.29% to a Barack Obama victory over John McCain by 9.23%. This is an 11.52% move to Obama.
Missouri changes from a Hillary Clinton victory over John McCain by 3.97% to a John McCain victory over Barack Obama by 10.61%. This is a 14.58% move to McCain.
New Hampshire changes from a John McCain victory over Hillary Clinton by 5.90% to a John McCain victory over Barack Obama by 6.67%. This is a 0.77% move to McCain.
New York changes from a Hillary Clinton victory over John McCain by 7.88% to a Barack Obama victory over John McCain by 1.31%. This is a 6.57% move to McCain.
Ohio changes from a Hillary Clinton victory over John McCain by 1.02% to a John McCain victory over Barack Obama by 18.18%. This is a 19.20% move to McCain.
Pennsylvania changes from a Hillary Clinton victory over John McCain by 7.51% to a John McCain victory over Barack Obama by 5.95%. This is a 13.46% move to McCain.
4 comments:
They’ve knocked her down. She gets back up. Time and again, Senator Hillary Clinton has been counted out but she is still standing strong. She has won the hearts and minds of over 16 million voters nationwide. What is it they see in this tremendously strong and intellectual woman?
For me, at least, I can tell you that having watched Hillary reach out to all of us on the campaign trail over the past 16 months, and speak to all of us in great detail about what she would like to accomplish for all of us, particularly in the debates, I know without a doubt she should be our president. She is concerned about all the right things - how we're going to set our economy right, how we're going to have health insurance that covers everyone, how we're going to guarantee every child a good education, how we're going to restore our country's reputation abroad - and has thoughtful, innovative plans to address all of these very real issues for all Americans.
Senator Clinton believes very strongly in what the Democratic Party's principles are and she believes in our commitment to ensuring that we have the strongest possible nominee to lead the Democratic ticket against John McCain and the Republicans in November. Hillary has won tremendous victories in bellwether states like Ohio, Pennsylvania and now Indiana that are absolutely vital to winning the White House and maintaining the Democratic Congressional majority in the fall. Senator Clinton has won the big battleground states by connecting with voters whose support the Democrats must have to win the general election. Her victories in Pennsylvania and Indiana were all the more impressive after being outspent by as much as two or three to one.
That’s why she continues to fight for this election and continues to fight for all of us.
Please support Hillary Clinton for President. Senator Clinton is a smart vote for America. Senator Clinton is the right vote for America.
I am so for Hillary. She is so much more qualified it's
obvious. What is it that so many people see in Obama?
I do NOT get it. If he were not black, he would not be in this race. He should not even be on the same stage.
The media are all over him and ignoring Hillary. I do hope the people of America get it before we end up with another president that doesn't have a clue what to do. It's time for all people to wake up and vote for Hillary.
I am also a Hillary supporter and am disgusted at the way the media has treated her. But Mr. Hawkins, I think you might start getting threats and hate mail and calls from the Obama-lovers like the members of the Congressional Black Caucus(CBC) that do not support Obama and the mother and brother of Tavis Smiley, along with Tavis himself got. I have never heard any reports of Hillary Clinton supporters spewing such hatred or threatening those in Congress that have not come out supporting her. Never have heard or seen anywhere that Obama has apologized for the behavior of his supporters. The Congresswoman from OH first mentioned the threats on TV when she was a member of the State of the Black Union forum, which Obama was too busy to attend. Somehow, Hillary did attend. Guess she just had nothing to do that day. Tavis Smiley and his mom and brother (who had nothing to do w/the program) got the threats after he made some "non-praising" comments about Obama not attending the State of the Black Union Forum which he hosted. The report from the Congresswoman from OH was followed by reports from other Clinton supporters among the members of the Congressional Black Caucus. This got very little discussion. It should have. Some CBC members said the threats to them were made by those officially involved with the Obama campaign. One member of the CBC named Jesse Jackson, Jr.
I have to post my opposition to Hillary in the middle of what appears to be a love-fest for her. Hillary is a socialist through and through. Individual rights would be trampled into oblivion as her goals to create a nanny-state are instituted. Sure she sounds good on the campaign trail (at least to liberals) ...she needs votes. However her distain for the military should be enough to disqualify her as Commander in Chief... I shudder to think what life would be like with a Hill-Billy presidency.
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