It appears that Barack Obama’s self-inflicted negative publicity is having an effect on his chances at the Presidency. He may be doing strong in the Democrat Party, but the following survey shows he is not doing so well with the electorate at large.
From May 1, 2008 through May 5, 2008, ccAdvertising completed a survey to a combined total of 90,000 homes in California, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Missouri, New Hampshire, New York, Ohio and Pennsylvania (10,000 homes from each state) extracted from the ccAdvertising database.
This survey compared John McCain, the presumptive Republican Nominee for President against Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama, the final contestants in the race for the Democrat nomination for President. Combined results from respondents to this survey show:
John McCain Versus Hillary Clinton:
John McCain = 40.98%
Hillary Clinton = 42.04%
No Preference = 16.98%
John McCain Versus Barack Obama:
John McCain = 45.90%
Barack Obama = 40.42%
No Preference = 13.68%
In Summary:
John McCain is winning the popular vote against Barack Obama in the states targeted in this survey by 5.48%. Hillary Clinton is winning the popular vote against John McCain in the states targeted in this survey by 1.06%.
When it is John McCain versus Hillary Clinton, John McCain wins 4 states (CO, FL, IL, and NH), with Hillary Clinton winning 5 states (CA, MO, NY, OH and PA). When it is John McCain versus Barack Obama, John McCain wins 6 states (CO, FL, MO, NH, OH and PA) with Barack Obama winning 3 states (CA, IL, and NY).
If Barack Obama is the Democrat Nominee the following changes occur in the State by State results:
California changes from a Hillary Clinton victory over John McCain by 15.82% to a Barack Obama victory over McCain by 12.88%. This is a 2.94% move to McCain.
Colorado changes from a John McCain victory over Hillary Clinton by 5.44% to a John McCain victory by 1.98%. This is a 3.46% move to Obama.
Florida changes from an 11.46% margin of victory for John McCain to a 25.52% margin for John McCain. This is a 14.06% move to McCain.
Illinois changes from a John McCain victory over Hillary Clinton by 2.29% to a Barack Obama victory over John McCain by 9.23%. This is an 11.52% move to Obama.
Missouri changes from a Hillary Clinton victory over John McCain by 3.97% to a John McCain victory over Barack Obama by 10.61%. This is a 14.58% move to McCain.
New Hampshire changes from a John McCain victory over Hillary Clinton by 5.90% to a John McCain victory over Barack Obama by 6.67%. This is a 0.77% move to McCain.
New York changes from a Hillary Clinton victory over John McCain by 7.88% to a Barack Obama victory over John McCain by 1.31%. This is a 6.57% move to McCain.
Ohio changes from a Hillary Clinton victory over John McCain by 1.02% to a John McCain victory over Barack Obama by 18.18%. This is a 19.20% move to McCain.
Pennsylvania changes from a Hillary Clinton victory over John McCain by 7.51% to a John McCain victory over Barack Obama by 5.95%. This is a 13.46% move to McCain.
